The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Álamo 22.1%
Draw 24%
Villaverde San Andrés 53.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.4%
25.4%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.7%
24.7%
50.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Álamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
Villaverde San Andrés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Álamo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villaverde San Andrés than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
El Álamo - Villaverde San Andrés Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Marin I. G. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Diaz R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Viega D. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Martinez D. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
El Álamo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Villaverde is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
El Álamo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Villaverde is a favorite.
Last 5 head-to-head matches El Álamo won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:4 (average 1.8:0.8).
Including matches at home between the teams El Álamo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
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