Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 19

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Elana Toruń		Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.02	3.3	3.25
	2.05	3.44	3.18	Watch
	2	3	3.25
	2	3.39	3.49	Watch
	1.96	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.8)	3.31 ↓ (3.69)	3.25 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elana Toruń
44.8%

Draw
27.4%

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

24.2%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

22.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elana Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elana Toruń than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elana Toruń, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Elana Toruń - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Roznowski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 2.

Elana Toruń is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stargard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Elana Toruń has had a series of away games.

Elana Toruń is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Elana Toruń won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Elana Toruń won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Blekitni Stargard	11	5	3	3	27:19	8	18
15	Elana Torun	11	2	4	5	16:22	-6	10

Last Results with these Odds

Elana Toruń - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 49.61%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elana Toruń
Polish Division 3 - Group II
14.03.26	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Elana Toruń - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Elana Toruń - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.02.26	Olimpia Grudziądz - Elana Toruń	3:3 ✺
31.01.26	Elana Toruń - Wisła Płock II	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLWTT
- Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.03.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Cartusia Kartuzy	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kluczevia Stargard	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
21.02.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Stilon Gorzów Wielkopolski	2:1 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
22.11.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.08.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Elana Toruń	0:2
06.04.25	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Elana Toruń	4:0
08.09.24	Elana Toruń - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2
25.11.23	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Elana Toruń	3:3
05.08.23	Elana Toruń - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0
04.06.22	Elana Toruń - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	Blekitni Stargard awarded
30.10.21	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Elana Toruń	1:0

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