Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Elazig Ataturk Stadyumu (Elazığ)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	Sifir


	Elazığspor		İnegölspor

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.7	2.78
	2.31	3.6	2.7
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	3.6 ↑ (3.45)	2.7 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elazığspor
41.4%

Draw
25.1%

İnegölspor
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.8%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

26.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elazığspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

İnegölspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elazığspor than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İnegölspor than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gumus T. ⚽, Ozan Y. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Bavuk F. ⚽, Taskiran M. (A),
26', 2 - 1, Eyibil E. ⚽, Soy E. (A),
45+5', 2 - 2, Aydin O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 3 - 2, Kaya S. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Eyibil E. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

Elazığspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

İnegölspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

İnegölspor - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elazığspor
Turkish Second League White Group
06.12.25	Kepez Belediyesi - Elazığspor	0:6 ✺
30.11.25	Elazığspor - Bucaspor 1928	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	Beykoz Anadolu - Elazığspor	0:7 ✺
08.11.25	Elazığspor - Ankaraspor	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Muğlaspor - Elazığspor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL
- İnegölspor
Turkish Second League White Group
06.12.25	İnegölspor - Adana 1954	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	24 Erzincanspor - İnegölspor	0:1 ✺
26.11.25	İnegölspor - Iskenderunspor	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Erbaaspor - İnegölspor	0:5 ✺
Turkish Cup
28.10.25	Sakaryaspor - İnegölspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWL

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