Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 30

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.53	3.85	5.4
	1.51	4.09	5.53
	1.58	3.93	5.43
	1.53	3.85	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)	3.82 ↑ (3.33)	5.09 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
57.9%

Draw
24.1%

Alzira
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

26.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elche Ilicitano's performance.

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elche Ilicitano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Elche Ilicitano - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, Pena H. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 1.

Recent matches Ilicitano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alzira has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.1:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Ilicitano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.03.25	Olot - Elche Ilicitano	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Elche Ilicitano - Sabadell	2:3 ✺
16.03.25	Sant Andreu - Elche Ilicitano	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Elche Ilicitano - Cornellà	4:3 ✺
02.03.25	Lleida - Elche Ilicitano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWT
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
30.03.25	Atlético Baleares - Alzira	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Alzira - Olot	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sabadell - Alzira	4:0 ✺
09.03.25	Alzira - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cornellà - Alzira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
23.11.24	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.05.21	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	0:0
11.04.21	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	1:2
24.11.19	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	2:0
27.04.19	Alzira - Elche Ilicitano	1:2
07.12.18	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.03.18	Elche Ilicitano - Alzira	2:1

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