Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 27

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Sabadell		Alzira

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.8	6.5
	1.29	4.6	9.4
	1.46	4.51	5.57
	1.3	4.91	8.67	Watch
	1.29	4.75	10.3
	1.29	4.6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.78)	4.53 ↑ (3.4)	8.31 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabadell
68.6%

Draw
20.3%

Alzira
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

24.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sabadell's performance.

Alzira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alzira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sabadell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alzira than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alzira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sabadell - Alzira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Martinez R. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Feria J. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', 4 - 0, Ramirez Carrasco M. A. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alzira is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Sabadell is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sabadell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabadell FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.03.25	Olot - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético Baleares - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Sabadell - Sant Andreu	0:4 ✺
16.02.25	Cornellà - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sabadell - Lleida	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLTT
- UD Alzira
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
09.03.25	Alzira - Sant Andreu	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Cornellà - Alzira	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Alzira - Lleida	1:4 ✺
16.02.25	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Alzira	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Alzira - Andratx	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
27.11.24	Alzira - Sabadell	0:0

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