Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Elche Ilicitano		Atlético Saguntino

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.7	2.5
	2.55	2.88	2.43
	2.75	2.55	2.65
	2.91	2.48	2.74
	2.74	2.95	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.64)	2.71 ↑ (2.7)	2.59 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche Ilicitano
32.5%

Draw
32.9%

Atlético Saguntino
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

32.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.1%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Atlético Saguntino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Saguntino than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Saguntino Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 0.

Ilicitano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saguntino is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ilicitano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilicitano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
03.04.22	Silla - Elche Ilicitano	2:1 ✺
26.03.22	Elche Ilicitano - Roda	4:1 ✺
20.03.22	Callosa Deportiva - Elche Ilicitano	0:4 ✺
13.03.22	Elche Ilicitano - Villajoyosa	5:0 ✺
05.03.22	Atzeneta - Elche Ilicitano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 LWWWW
- Atlético Saguntino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
02.04.22	Atlético Saguntino - Benigánim	1:3 ✺
26.03.22	Valencia B - Atlético Saguntino	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Atlético Saguntino - Español de San Vicente	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Olímpic de Xàtiva - Atlético Saguntino	1:1 ✺
06.03.22	Atlético Saguntino - Orihuela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
04.12.21	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	2:0
09.05.21	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Saguntino	2:0
17.04.21	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:0
05.01.20	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:1
27.01.19	Elche Ilicitano - Atlético Saguntino	3:3
08.09.18	Atlético Saguntino - Elche Ilicitano	1:1

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