Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 15

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Hércules B		Acero

	1	X	2
	3.15	2.65	2.2
	3.25	2.65	2.23
	2.97	2.69	2.53
	3.04	2.78	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.5)	2.69 ↓ (2.88)	2.35 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hércules B
28.8%

Draw
33.2%

Acero
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

31.3%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

28.5%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hércules B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules B's form might have worsened.

Acero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acero's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules B than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acero than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Hércules B - Acero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent matches Hércules B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Acero is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Acero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules B won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Hércules B won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hércules B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
18.12.22	Silla - Hércules B	2:2 ✺
10.12.22	Hércules B - Torrent	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Torrellano - Hércules B	2:1 ✺
26.11.22	Hércules B - Orihuela	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Hércules B - Levante B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTLLW
- CD Acero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
17.12.22	Acero - Villarreal C	1:2 ✺
10.12.22	Atzeneta - Acero	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Acero - Gandía	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Patacona - Acero	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Acero - Castellon B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.03.22	Hércules B - Acero	1:1
06.11.21	Acero - Hércules B	1:0
15.05.21	Acero - Hércules B	2:2
11.04.21	Hércules B - Acero	1:0
15.12.19	Acero - Hércules B	3:1

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