Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Atlético Madrid B

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.15	3.15	3.25
	2.24	3.15	3.17
	2.28	3	3.28	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.3
	2.18	3.02	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (1.86)	3.02 ↓ (3.4)	3.29 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
42.1%

Draw
30.2%

Atlético Madrid B
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

26.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eldense's form might have worsened.

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eldense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Madrid B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Eldense - Atlético Madrid B Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Atlético Madrid B will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 8. Bustillo M. 17. Clemente J. 9. Dioni 10. Fidel 18. Macho G. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 2. Serradell A. G. 3. Smand F. 23. Vallejo J.	13. Esquivel S. (G) 10. Belaid R. 18. Bellotti M. 4. Bonar J. 8. Castillo J. 19. Corral A. 9. Llorente R. 7. Luque I. 5. Martinez D. 23. Ortiz A. 15. Puric A.
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 4. Dumic D. 5. Gaixas A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 21. Ruiz D. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.	20. Barboza M. 30. Cubo M. 1. de Luis M. (G) 28. Hueso R. 11. Koke 24. Najera R. 2. Parriego M. 22. Perovic M. 27. Seidu T. 6. Serrano J. 21. Sits D. 12. Spina G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Clemente J. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Ortiz A. ⚽,
29', Serradell A. G. 🟨,
29', Ortiz A. 🟨,
35', Vallejo J. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
45+4', Serradell A. G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Clemente J. ↓, Ibarrondo A. ↑,
50', Puric A. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Quintana Nacho ⚽,
64', Castillo J. ↓, Najera R. ↑,
64', Belaid R. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
73', Quintana Nacho ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
76', Corral A. ↓, Cubo M. ↑,
83', Calvo B. ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
90+1', Bustillo M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Atlético Madrid B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Eldense will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Atl. Madrid B	6	2	2	2	11:8	3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
10.05.26	Sevilla B - Eldense	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Eldense - Marbella	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Antequera - Eldense	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Eldense - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Betis B - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWLWW
- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.05.26	Atlético Madrid B - Sabadell	4:3 ✺
03.05.26	Juventud de Torremolinos - Atlético Madrid B	3:1 ✺
24.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Betis B	3:1 ✺
19.04.26	Teruel - Atlético Madrid B	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
07.11.25	Atlético Madrid B - Eldense	1:1

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