Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 31 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player


	Eldense		Granada

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.63	Watch
	2.87	2.95	2.5
	2.8	3	2.65	Watch
	2.91	3.1	2.74
	3.01	2.92	2.66	Watch
	3.03	3.1	2.46	Watch
	2.8	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.55)	3.02 ↓ (3.16)	2.61 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
32.7%

Draw
31.2%

Granada
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

29.7%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	52.4%	33.3%

Eldense - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Granada will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31% – 73.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 26. Barzic M. 5. Pina 23. Mateu M. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 28. Mendez D. 10. Llabres J. 25. Collado D. 16. Masca	1. Zidane L. (G) 2. Sanchez R. 16. Lama M. 24. Williams L. 3. Brau M. 11. Tsitaishvili G. 6. Hongla M. 20. Ruiz S. 21. Rebbach A. 7. Boye L. 10. Stoichkov
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 6. Camarasa V. 19. Fede 13. Mackay I. (G) 3. Martos I. 14. Monsalve N. 11. Ortuno J. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho 18. Ropero U. 24. Timor D.	30. Balde S. 18. Jozwiak K. 32. Lendinez J. 25. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez M. (G) 15. Neva C. 4. Rubio M. 22. Saenz P. 12. Sanchez R. 23. Trigueros M. 8. Villar G. 9. Weissman S.
Coaches
Oltra J.	Escriba F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Mateu M. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Stoichkov ⚽, Rebbach A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Ruiz S. 🟨,
62', 0 - 2, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽,
63', Collado D. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
71', Rebbach A. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
72', Ruiz S. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
73', Tsitaishvili G. 🟨,
73', Llabres J. ↓, Bouzaidi S. ↑,
73', Mendez D. ↓, Camarasa V. ↑,
84', Stoichkov ↓, Weissman S. ↑,
84', Mateu M. ↓, Ropero U. ↑,
84', Masca ↓, Fede ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Brau M. ⚽, Sanchez R. (A),
90+2', Boye L. ↓, Jozwiak K. ↑,
90+2', Hongla M. ↓, Rubio M. ↑,
90+4', Brau M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Eldense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Granada is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There are questionable in Eldense: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
25.01.25	Tenerife - Eldense	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Eldense - Cádiz	1:4 ✺
13.01.25	Eldense - Eibar	1:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.25	Eldense - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Racing Santander - Eldense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WLLLT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.01.25	Granada - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Levante - Granada	3:1 ✺
10.01.25	Granada - Burgos	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.01.25	Granada - Getafe	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.24	Eibar - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.24	Granada - Eldense	3:2

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