Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Pepico Amat (Elda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Eldense		Marbella

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	5.5
	1.38	4.33	6.5
	1.37	4.65	6.9
	1.38	5.29	6.88
	1.36	5.3	6.87	Watch
	1.33	4.6	6.5
	1.32	4.9	7.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.42)	4.87 ↑ (4.43)	6.63 ↑ (6.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
67.4%

Draw
18.8%

Marbella
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65%

20.8%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

19.9%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Marbella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marbella than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Eldense - Marbella Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vila R. (G) 19. Ibarrondo A. 2. Serradell A. G. 5. Gaixas A. 23. Vallejo J. 18. Macho G. 12. Molina M. 7. Quintana Nacho 10. Fidel 9. Dioni 8. Bustillo M.	1. Garcia M. (G) 2. Alvarez J. 22. Rodriguez J. 23. Escassi A. 3. Martinez A. 20. Cambra J. 8. Eugeni 16. Ruiz A. 19. Ohemeng E. 10. Gil A. 24. Selma D.
Substitutes
24. Alba H. 11. Bellari H. 15. Billups B. 6. Calvo B. 17. Clemente J. 4. Dumic D. 34. Gonzalez H. 22. Nunez R. 16. Quintanilla R. 21. Ruiz D. 13. Valencia P. (G) 14. Vega O.	17. Alexiel 7. Awudu T. 34. Barrios F. (G) 5. Carbonell A. 15. Gabri 21. Llacer L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Bustillo M. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Dioni ⚽,
23', Cambra J. 🟨,
30', 3 - 0, Bustillo M. ⚽,
45+1', Escassi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cambra J. ↓, Awudu T. ↑,
46', Ruiz A. ↓, Alexiel ↑,
58', Gaixas A. 🟨,
59', 3 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽,
61', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
65', Vallejo J. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
66', Quintana Nacho ↓, Alba H. ↑,
70', Alvarez J. 🟨,
71', Gil A. ↓, Gabri ↑,
76', Fidel ↓, Bellari H. ↑,
90', Dioni ↓, Billups B. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Eldense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Marbella is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Marbella may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Eldense is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Eldense will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eldense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.04.26	Antequera - Eldense	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Eldense - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Betis B - Eldense	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Eldense - CE Europa	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tarazona - Eldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWW
- Marbella FC
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.04.26	Marbella - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Marbella - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Atlético Madrid B - Marbella	5:4 ✺
04.04.26	Marbella - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Hércules - Marbella	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
11.10.25	Marbella - Eldense	1:0

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