Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Eldense		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.2	5.25
	1.66	3.3	4.5
	1.69	3.35	4.5
	1.68	3.54	5.33
	1.64	3.54	5
	1.73	3.45	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)	3.4 ↑ (3.1)	4.88 ↑ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
54.4%

Draw
26.9%

SD Logroñés
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.5%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.5%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eldense's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Eldense - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 14).

Eldense in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches SD Logroñés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SD Logroñés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Eldense is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Eldense to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	Sabadell - Eldense	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Eldense - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Osasuna B - Eldense	0:2 ✺
18.09.22	Eldense - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Athletic Bilbao B - Eldense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWWW
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.22	SD Logroñés - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
01.10.22	Real Murcia - SD Logroñés	4:2 ✺
25.09.22	SD Logroñés - Intercity	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	UD Logroñés - SD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
11.09.22	SD Logroñés - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LLWWW

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