Match Info

Date: 13 April 2022, Wednesday


	Eltersdorf		Aubstadt

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.8
	3.35	3.55	1.93
	3.2	3.55	2.02
	3.44	3.48	2.05
	3.5	3.4	1.88
	3.32	3.82	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (4.5)	3.53 ↓ (3.7)	1.95 ↑ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltersdorf
26.8%

Draw
26%

Aubstadt
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.3%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

24%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltersdorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eltersdorf's performance.

Aubstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aubstadt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltersdorf than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eltersdorf that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aubstadt than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aubstadt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eltersdorf - Aubstadt Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation) and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eltersdorf won 0.

Eltersdorf is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aubstadt is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Eltersdorf have a series of guest games.

Recently Aubstadt have a series of home games.

Aubstadt will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Eltersdorf won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 6-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Eltersdorf won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Eltersdorf
German Regionalliga Bayern
09.04.22	Greuther Fürth II - Eltersdorf	2:1 ✺
05.04.22	Schalding-Heining - Eltersdorf	2:2 ✺
25.03.22	Buchbach - Eltersdorf	1:1 ✺
18.03.22	Eltersdorf - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
15.03.22	Bayern Munich II - Eltersdorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTLL
- TSV Aubstadt
German Regionalliga Bayern
09.04.22	Aubstadt - Heimstetten	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Aubstadt - Nürnberg II	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	Wacker Burghausen - Aubstadt	0:3 ✺
12.03.22	Aubstadt - Illertissen	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
18.09.21	Aubstadt - Eltersdorf	2:1
German Oberliga Bayern Nord
03.11.18	Aubstadt - Eltersdorf	2:0
04.05.18	Eltersdorf - Aubstadt	0:7
03.10.17	Aubstadt - Eltersdorf	2:1
08.04.17	Eltersdorf - Aubstadt	0:0
10.09.16	Aubstadt - Eltersdorf	2:2
29.04.16	Eltersdorf - Aubstadt	0:3

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