Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 26

Date: 30 August 2026, Sunday


	Eltham Redbacks		Melbourne Knights

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.60	2.80
	2.16	3.45	2.63
	2.08	3.77	2.90
	1.94	3.78	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.70	2.85
	2.11	4.02	2.78
	2.07	3.75	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (3.05)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	2.87 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltham Redbacks
43.9%

Draw
24.4%

Melbourne Knights
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

25%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

24.1%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eltham Redbacks's performance.

Melbourne Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eltham Redbacks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Knights than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Knights Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 0 - 1, ⚽,
78', 0 - 2, ⚽,
81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

Eltham Redbacks has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Melbourne Knights is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Eltham Redbacks may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Eltham Redbacks won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
22.08.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Eltham Redbacks	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Eltham Redbacks - Manningham United	5:0 ✺
31.07.26	Northcote City - Eltham Redbacks	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Srbija	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Eltham Redbacks	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLT
- Melbourne Knights
Australian Victoria Premier League
23.08.26	Melbourne Knights - Langwarrin	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Melbourne Knights	1:1 ✺
31.07.26	Melbourne Knights - Western United U21	4:2 ✺
25.07.26	Manningham United - Melbourne Knights	1:5 ✺
17.07.26	Melbourne Knights - Brunswick City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
15.05.26	Melbourne Knights - Eltham Redbacks	4:0

Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Knights: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide