Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 23

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday

Location: John Cain Memorial Park (Melbourne)


	Northcote City		Eltham Redbacks

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.60	3.40
	1.65	4.25	3.7
	1.7	4.33	3.71
	1.7	4.43	3.65	Watch
	1.67	4.25	3.65
	1.71	4.5	3.63
	1.67	4.3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.68)	4.24 ↑ (3.75)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northcote City
53.5%

Draw
21.5%

Eltham Redbacks
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

23.6%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22.9%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northcote City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Eltham Redbacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Northcote City - Eltham Redbacks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Northcote City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Northcote City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
25.07.26	Port Melbourne Sharks - Northcote City	1:3 ✺
17.07.26	Northcote City - Manningham United	3:3 ✺
10.07.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Knights	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Northcote City - Melbourne Srbija	2:3 ✺
20.06.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Northcote City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTLLW
- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
24.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - Melbourne Srbija	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	North Sunshine Eagles - Eltham Redbacks	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Geelong Warriors	3:1 ✺
04.07.26	Langwarrin - Eltham Redbacks	1:6 ✺
19.06.26	Eltham Redbacks - Western United U21	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Victoria Premier League
24.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City	1:1

Northcote City - Eltham Redbacks: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide