Match Info

Serie B - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Marinelli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:00	Arena Sport 2
Israel	16:00	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	15:00	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Serbia	15:00	Arena Sport 6
Switzerland	15:00	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Turkey	16:00	Sifir
Usa	09:00	Fox Soccer Plus
International	13:00	OneFootball TV


	Empoli		Palermo

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.60	1.86	Watch
	3.75	3.50	1.93
	3.55	3.50	2.00	Watch
	4.22	3.54	1.97
	3.94	3.49	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.50	1.92
	3.81	3.65	1.94	Watch
	3.70	3.55	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (3.69)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	1.93 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
24.4%

Draw
26.7%

Palermo
48.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

26.5%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

26.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Empoli - Palermo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 25. Curto M. 6. Romagnoli S. 33. Cauz C. 15. Ceesay J. 8. Magnino L. (C) 23. Bandinelli F. 39. Biondini E. 91. Corrado N. 77. Popov B. 10. Saporiti E.	14. Fortin M. (G) 84. Cassandro T. 13. Bani M. (C) 32. Ceccaroni P. 3. Augello T. 8. Segre J. 10. Ranocchia F. 9. Vavassori D. 5. Palumbo A. 17. Johnsen D. 20. Pohjanpalo J.
Substitutes
57. Belardinelli L. 36. Bembnista D. 5. Degli Innocenti D. 44. Deli L. 35. Egan M. 13. Filippis E. (G) 28. Indragoli G. 16. Meznar F. 1. Perisan S. (G) 11. Shpendi S. 98. Zedadka K.	33. Bozzolan A. 24. Estevez N. 99. Gabrielloni A. 6. Gomes C. 11. Gyasi E. 23. Hernani 96. Magnani G. 36. Mazzitelli L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 29. Peda P. 1. Perin M. (G) 27. Pierozzi N.
Coaches
Andreoletti M.	Inzaghi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 4)
46', Bandinelli F. ↓, Deli L. ↑,
46', Romagnoli S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Saporiti E. (Penalty Awarded),
57', 1 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Bani M. (A),
57', Seghetti J. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Palumbo A. ⚽, Johnsen D. (A),
69', 1 - 3, Johnsen D. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
71', Biondini E. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
71', Corrado N. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
75', Ranocchia F. 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Popov B. ⚽,
80', Palumbo A. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
80', Ranocchia F. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
80', Segre J. ↓, Hernani ↑,
80', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
85', Johnsen D. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Cassandro T. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
89', Ceesay J. ↓, Egan M. ↑,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 13th and 1st in the Promotion - Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 1.

In recent outings, Empoli has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Palermo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Palermo holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Empoli: Bandinelli F. (Inactive) Egan M. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for Palermo: Hernani (Injury) Joronen J. (Shoulder Injury) Perin M. (Inactive) Strefezza G. (Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Empoli: Monaco S. (Inactive).

In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Empoli has recorded 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:13 (averaging 1.6:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Empoli against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:4 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palermo	8	7	1	0	18:8	10	22
17	Empoli	9	2	1	6	8:15	-7	7

Last Results with these Odds

Empoli - the odds 3.69 are the expected chance of winning is 25.23%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
20.09.26	Modena - Empoli	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Empoli - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Mantova - Empoli	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWLW
- U.S. Città di Palermo
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
07.09.26	Palermo - Sampdoria	3:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
03.09.26	Palermo - Mantova	5:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
30.08.26	Arezzo - Palermo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2
07.12.25	Empoli - Palermo	1:3
02.02.18	Empoli - Palermo	4:0
09.09.17	Palermo - Empoli	3:3
Italian Serie A
28.05.17	Palermo - Empoli	2:1
07.01.17	Empoli - Palermo	1:0
19.03.16	Empoli - Palermo	0:0

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