The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Empoli 32.9%
Draw 29.8%
Juve Stabia 37.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.6%
28.7%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.7%
28.7%
31.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Empoli's form might have worsened.
Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Empoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Empoli - Juve Stabia Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 17th in the Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 2.
Empoli has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Juve Stabia have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Empoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Empoli has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:8 (averaging 1.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Empoli against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:4 goals (averaging 2.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Juve Stabia
9
3
3
3
9:9
0
8
18
Empoli
9
2
1
6
8:15
-7
7
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Juve Stabia: 0.4% Empoli: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Juve Stabia - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.75%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.