Match Info

Serie B - Round 24

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)

Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox
World	Onefootball


	Empoli		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3	3
	2.42	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.5	2.92	3.49
	2.42	2.93	3.23	Watch
	2.45	2.75	3.1
	2.44	2.82	3.3	Watch
	2.5	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.36)	2.87 ↓ (3.03)	3.22 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Empoli
38.4%

Draw
32.6%

Juve Stabia
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

30.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

30%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Empoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	50%	22.2%

Empoli - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Empoli will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Empoli (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Empoli (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Empoli (votes: 3 - 30%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Fulignati A. (G) 20. Lovato M. (C) 34. Guarino G. 5. Obaretin N. 26. Candela A. 25. Ignacchiti L. 14. Yepes G. 8. Magnino L. 7. Elia S. 11. Shpendi S. 17. Fila D.	1. Confente A. (G) 33. Giorgini A. 21. Kassama S. 6. Bellich M. (C) 24. Carissoni L. 98. Mosti N. 29. Correia O. 8. Zeroli K. 77. Cacciamani A. 7. Burnete R. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
15. Ceesay J. 2. Curto M. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 24. Ebuehi T. 32. Haas N. 10. Ilie R. 28. Indragoli G. 19. Nasti M. 1. Perisan S. (G) 77. Popov B. 4. Romagnoli S. 70. Saporiti E.	23. Boer P. (G) 17. Ciammaglichella A. 14. Dalle Mura C. 55. Leone G. 37. Maistro F. 76. Mannini M. 70. Matheu P. 90. Okoro A. 2. Ricciardi M. 16. Signorini A. (G) 28. Torrasi E.
Coaches
Dionisi A.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Lovato M. ⚽, Elia S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kassama S. ↓, Dalle Mura C. ↑,
46', Zeroli K. ↓, Leone G. ↑,
46', Shpendi S. ↓, Nasti M. ↑,
46', Magnino L. ↓, Ilie R. ↑,
54', Elia S. ↓, Ebuehi T. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Leone G. ⚽,
61', Burnete R. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Leone G. (A),
69', Yepes G. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
72', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Maistro F. ↑,
74', Fila D. ↓, Popov B. ↑,
80', Lovato M. 🟨,
88', Cacciamani A. ↓, Ricciardi M. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 3.

Empoli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Juve Stabia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Empoli: Bianchi F. (Inactive) Moruzzi B. (Inactive) Pellegri P. (Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Candellone L. (Injury) Diakite S. (Inactive) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Varnier M. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Empoli won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Empoli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Empoli	6	2	0	4	6:10	-4	6
19	Juve Stabia	6	1	3	2	5:8	-3	2

Last Results with these Odds

Juve Stabia - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.62%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Palermo - Empoli	3:2 ✺
31.01.26	Empoli - Modena	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Carrarese - Empoli	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Empoli - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Cesena - Empoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLLW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
07.02.26	Juve Stabia - Padova	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Reggiana - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Juve Stabia - Virtus Entella	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Bari - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Juve Stabia - Pescara	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
13.12.25	Juve Stabia - Empoli	2:0
18.01.20	Juve Stabia - Empoli	1:0
25.08.19	Empoli - Juve Stabia	2:1
29.03.14	Empoli - Juve Stabia	2:1
26.10.13	Juve Stabia - Empoli	0:2
16.04.13	Empoli - Juve Stabia	5:0
24.11.12	Juve Stabia - Empoli	1:2

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