Match Info
Division Intermedia - Round 9Date: 23 May 2026, SaturdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Paraguay | Tigo Sports+ |
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Encarnación |
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Independiente Asuncion |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.35 |
2.92 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.25 |
3.05 |
2.95 |
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 |
2.4 |
3.02 |
3.11 |
 Watch |
 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.29 |
2.99 |
3.03 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.73) |
2.96 ↑
(2.9) |
2.97 ↑
(2.73) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Encarnación
38.8% | Draw
30.7% | Independiente Asuncion
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Encarnación has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Independiente Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Asuncion than the current prediction. (+2.5%)Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 31', 1 - 0, Mongelos A. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, Dramane D. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Balbuena E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 68', 2 - 2, Mendoza E. ⚽,
- 78', 2 - 3, Roa R. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).Recent form of Encarnación has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).Independiente FBC's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Encarnación may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Encarnación won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Encarnación won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 6 | Independiente FBC | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
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| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Paraguayan Division Intermedia | | | 04.07.25 | Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion | 3:0 | | 28.03.25 | Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación | 1:0 | | 07.10.24 | Encarnación - Independiente Asuncion | 2:2 | | 01.07.24 | Independiente Asuncion - Encarnación | 3:1 |
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