Match Info

3. Liga - Round 4

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: LEAG Energie Stadion (Cottbus)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	BR Fernsehen, DFB Play, Magenta Sport, RBB Brandenburg
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Energie Cottbus		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.9
	2.18	3.55	2.92
	2.27	3.6	3.07
	2.17	3.88	2.81	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.8
	2.23	3.45	2.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.9 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Energie Cottbus
42.1%

Draw
25.9%

Ingolstadt
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

26.5%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

26%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Cottbus will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sebald A. (G) 3. Rorig H. 4. Campulka T. 23. Awortwie-Grant N. 21. Guwara L. 5. Pelivan D. 6. Hofmann J. 19. Boziaris J. 10. Cigerci T. 18. Engelhardt E. 31. Butler J.	1. Ponath M. (G) 2. Hoppe M. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 34. Frode L. (C) 22. Costly M. 10. Kaygin D. 17. Besuschkow M. 8. Carlsen F. 9. Borchers M.
Substitutes
30. Bohnke M. (G) 20. Borgmann A. 15. Duah D. 11. Hannemann M. 36. Juckel J. 17. Moustfa C. Y. 22. Ogbidi T. 25. Tattermusch T. 7. Thiele T.	24. Christensen G. 4. Decker E. 20. Deichmann Y. 25. Eisele K. (G) 5. Gul E. 29. Kugel J. 23. Maljojoki J. 14. Plath M. 7. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Wollitz C.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Rosenlocher L. ↓, Deichmann Y. ↑,
35', 1 - 0, Cigerci T. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kaygin D. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Carlsen F. ⚽, Hoppe M. (A),
64', Boziaris J. 🟨,
64', 🟨,
65', Boziaris J. ↓, Tattermusch T. ↑,
65', Butler J. ↓, Moustfa C. Y. ↑,
65', Campulka T. ↓, Duah D. ↑,
65', Costly M. ↓, Christensen G. ↑,
65', Carlsen F. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
72', Guwara L. ↓, Borgmann A. ↑,
76', Duah D. 🟨,
81', Hofmann J. 🟨,
82', Engelhardt E. ↓, Thiele T. ↑,
83', Borchers M. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 0.

Cottbus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ingolstadt is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ingolstadt has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cottbus won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cottbus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Energie Cottbus
German 3 Bundesliga
23.08.25	Hoffenheim II - Energie Cottbus	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Hannover	1:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
08.08.25	Schweinfurt - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Energie Cottbus - Saarbrücken	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	SPG Wels - Energie Cottbus	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWTW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
24.08.25	Ingolstadt - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	VfB Stuttgart II - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ingolstadt - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Ingolstadt - Heidenheim	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Ingolstadt - Torino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
17.05.25	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:4
20.12.24	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
11.05.14	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	2:0
08.12.13	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:2
09.12.12	Energie Cottbus - Ingolstadt	1:1
03.08.12	Ingolstadt - Energie Cottbus	2:2

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