Match Info

EUROPE: Euro - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Veltins Arena (Gelsenkirchen)

Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Czech-republic	CT sport
Denmark	TV2
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Sports France 1
Germany	ZDF
Hungary	M4 Sport
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	NPO 1
Norway	TV2
Poland	TVP 2, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo
Sweden	SVT 2, SVT Play
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Ukraine


	England		Slovakia

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	9
	1.43	4.2	8.75
	1.43	4.25	9.2
	1.44	4.25	9.61
	1.46	4.45	9.83
	1.44	4.2	8.5
	1.46	4.47	9.2
	1.43	4.4	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.3 ↓ (4.39)	9.14 ↑ (8.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Euro with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX

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Current Win Probability

England
67%

Draw
22.4%

Slovakia
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

21.8%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

19.9%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for England have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Slovakia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for England than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with England that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovakia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.7%	16.2%	8.1%

England - Slovakia Predictions

Users Predictions: 110 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 84 - 76.4%). Slovakia will win (votes: 8 - 7.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 16.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for England: 68.5% – 84.3%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 2. Walker K. Manchester City 5. Stones J. Manchester City 6. Guehi M. Crystal Palace 12. Trippier K. Newcastle Utd 26. Mainoo K. Manchester United 4. Rice D. Arsenal 7. Saka B. Arsenal 10. Bellingham J. Real Madrid 11. Foden P. Manchester City 9. Kane H. (C) Bayern Munich	1. Dubravka M. (G) Newcastle Utd 2. Pekarik P. Hertha Berlin 3. Vavro D. FC Copenhagen 14. Skriniar M. (C) PSG 16. Hancko D. Feyenoord 19. Kucka J. Slovan Bratislava 22. Lobotka S. Napoli 8. Duda O. Verona 26. Schranz I. Slavia Prague 18. Strelec D. Slovan Bratislava 17. Haraslin L. Sparta Prague
Substitutes
8. Alexander-Arnold T. Liverpool 20. Bowen J. West Ham 15. Dunk L. Brighton 21. Eze E. Crystal Palace 16. Gallagher C. Chelsea 22. Gomez J. Liverpool 18. Gordon A. Newcastle Utd 23. Henderson D. (G) Crystal Palace 14. Konsa E. Aston Villa 24. Palmer C. Chelsea 13. Ramsdale A. (G) Arsenal 3. Shaw L. Manchester United 17. Toney I. Brentford 19. Watkins O. Aston Villa 25. Wharton A. Crystal Palace	11. Benes L. Hamburger 21. Bero M. Bochum 9. Bozenik R. Boavista 15. De Marco V. Hatta 20. Duris D. Ascoli 6. Gyomber N. Salernitana 13. Hrosovsky P. Genk 25. Kosa S. Spartak Trnava 4. Obert A. Cagliari 23. Ravas H. (G) New England Revolution 5. Rigo T. Ostrava 12. Rodak M. (G) Fulham 24. Sauer L. Feyenoord 7. Suslov T. Verona 10. Tupta L. Liberec
Coaches
Southgate G.	Calzona F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Guehi M. 🟨,
7', Mainoo K. 🟨,
13', Kucka J. 🟨,
17', Bellingham J. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Schranz I. ⚽, Strelec D. (A),
45+1', Skriniar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Haraslin L. ↓, Suslov T. ↑,
61', Strelec D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
66', Trippier K. ↓, Palmer C. ↑,
77', Pekarik P. 🟨,
81', Duda O. ↓, Benes L. ↑,
81', Kucka J. ↓, Bero M. ↑,
84', Mainoo K. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
90+3', Schranz I. ↓, Gyomber N. ↑,
90+4', Foden P. ↓, Toney I. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Bellingham J. ⚽, Guehi M. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', 2 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Toney I. (A),
106', Bellingham J. ↓, Konsa E. ↑,
106', Kane H. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
108', Vavro D. 🟨,
109', Pekarik P. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
114', Gyomber N. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches England is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slovak Republic is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match England is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches England won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England
UEFA Euro
25.06.24	England - Slovenia	0:0 ✺
20.06.24	Denmark - England	1:1 ✺
16.06.24	Serbia - England	0:1 ✺
Friendly
07.06.24	England - Iceland	0:1 ✺
03.06.24	England - Bosnia and Herzegovina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTWLW
- Slovakia
UEFA Euro
26.06.24	Slovakia - Romania	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Slovakia - Ukraine	1:2 ✺
17.06.24	Belgium - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
Friendly
09.06.24	Slovakia - Wales	4:0 ✺
05.06.24	Slovakia - San Marino	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 74.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
04.09.17	England - Slovakia	2:1
04.09.16	Slovakia - England	0:1
UEFA Euro
20.06.16	Slovakia - England	0:0

England - Slovakia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide