Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Sur (Envigado)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Envigado		Atlético Cali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.20	7.00
	1.41	4.05	6.8	Watch
	1.42	4.23	7.86
	1.42	4.28	7.6	Watch
	1.37	4.1	7.7
	1.36	4.2	7.55	Watch
	1.4	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.76)	4.15 ↑ (3.58)	7.3 ↑ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Envigado
65.5%

Draw
22%

Atlético Cali
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

25.9%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

28%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Envigado's performance.

Atlético Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Envigado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Cali than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Envigado - Atlético Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Envigado will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 25. Cuero M. 15. Cuervo G. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 99. Marulanda M. 5. Norena S. 2. Palacios D. 6. Palacios J. 17. Rodallega Y. 9. Rodriguez A.	12. Munera J. (G) 18. Angulo K. 11. Cabezas C. 7. Delgado J. 6. Hernandez N. 23. Hormaza E. 5. Julio J. 3. Mena J. (C) 9. Onate A. 22. Valencia A. 2. Villa F.
Substitutes
14. Betancurt M. 7. Dawson D. 8. Hurtado W. 33. Londono E. 1. Mora J. (G) . Mujica G. . Palacio J. 27. Quejada J. . Rey J.	10. Eraso G. 13. Galindo J. 1. Jaramillo Agudelo J. D. (G) 24. Saavedra S. 15. Veira J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
43', 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', 🟨,
57', 1 - 0, Gamboa Valencia J. J. ⚽,
70', 2 - 0, Marulanda M. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Dawson D. ⚽,

Preview

Envigado is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Atlético Cali shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Envigado could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Envigado as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Envigado has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 5:3 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Envigado against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Cali - the odds 4.33 are the expected chance of winning is 21.41%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
21.09.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Envigado - Leones	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Envigado	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Tigres - Envigado	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL
- Atlético Cali FC
Colombian Primera B
22.09.26	Atlético Cali - Tigres	0:3 ✺
14.09.26	Orsomarso - Atlético Cali	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Atlético Cali	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Leones - Atlético Cali	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Atlético Cali - Bogotá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.4 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
06.04.26	Atlético Cali - Envigado	1:2
Colombian Copa
22.02.23	Envigado - Atlético Cali	3:0 penalties
15.02.23	Atlético Cali - Envigado	2:0

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