Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Jaime Morón León (Cartagena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Real Cartagena		Envigado

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.25	3.90
	1.72	3.4	4.4	Watch
	1.72	3.54	4.64
	1.7	3.66	4.84	Watch
	1.69	3.45	4.5
	1.66	3.4	4.77	Watch
	1.69	3.35	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.5)	3.44 ↓ (3.65)	4.48 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Cartagena
53.2%

Draw
26.5%

Envigado
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

23.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Cartagena's form might have worsened.

Envigado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Envigado than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Real Cartagena - Envigado Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Cartagena will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Montes A. (G) 17. Aleman J. 33. Balanta M. 7. Barrera J. 25. De Las Salas C. 26. Graciano C. 80. Lopez E. 10. Montero F. 16. Pineda J. 21. Rodriguez J. 24. Tegue G.	88. Tovar A. (G) 19. Acuna S. 14. Betancurt M. 15. Cuervo G. 28. Gamboa Valencia J. J. 77. Nieva J. 5. Norena S. 6. Palacio J. 2. Palacios D. 17. Rodallega Y. 9. Rodriguez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', 🟨,
25', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', 🟨,
57', 🟥,
66', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
75', 🟥,
81', 🟥,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ Primera B (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 16th).

In recent outings, Real Cartagena has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Envigado is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bookmakers give the edge to Real Cartagena for this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:8 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Real Cartagena against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cartagena	11	4	3	4	19:14	5	15
10	Envigado	11	2	6	3	12:11	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Cartagena
Colombian Primera B
12.09.26	Internacional de Palmira - Real Cartagena	2:1 ✺
04.09.26	Orsomarso - Real Cartagena	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Cartagena - Tigres	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:6 ✺
20.08.26	Real Cartagena - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWW
- Envigado FC
Colombian Primera B
12.09.26	Envigado - Leones	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Envigado	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Envigado - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
19.08.26	Tigres - Envigado	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Envigado	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
29.05.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1
25.05.26	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:3
16.03.26	Envigado - Real Cartagena	1:1
Colombian Copa
29.08.24	Real Cartagena - Envigado	2:1
08.05.24	Envigado - Real Cartagena	2:0

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