Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 13

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Tonkocheyev Stadium (Kamianets-Podilskyi)


	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.6
	1.96	3.1	3.8
	1.95	3.23	3.76
	1.91	3.25	3.6
	1.93	3.15	3.8
	1.96	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.05)	3.14 ↑ (3.03)	3.73 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
46.8%

Draw
28.9%

Metalist Kharkiv
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

30.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

31.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Epitsentr Kamianets Podilskyi - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bilyk O. (G) 10. Bejenari A. (C) 17. Bendera I. 3. Grygorashchuk S. 9. Kravchuk D. 21. Krystin S. 22. Krystin V. 28. Lipovuz A. 4. Moroz V. 6. Savchuk G. 5. Zaporozhets E.	25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 77. Chidomere A. 8. Digtyar K. 42. Fedoriv V. 99. Gabriel Gomes 24. Lutsiv P. 2. Mizyuk O. 7. Synchuk G. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D.
Substitutes
30. Bushnyak G. (G) 11. Demydenko I. 97. Klymets O. 98. Lyashenko A. 8. Myronyuk M. 23. Pavluchenko A. 77. Polyulyakh M. 88. Protsiv M. 7. Ravlyk V. 34. Tanchyk V. 2. Zhmuyda O.	29. Abramov Y. 13. Goryainov O. 27. Isaenko Y. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 31. Porokh B. 32. Shakhmayev M. 11. Tsvirenko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Lutsiv P. (Pen),
36', 1 - 1, Kravchuk D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Epitsentr is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Metalist is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Metalist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Epitsentr will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Epitsentr won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Epitsentr won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.10.24	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:1 ✺
21.09.24	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:0 ✺
11.09.24	Mynai - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWLWT
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.10.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	2:0 ✺
09.10.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
04.10.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mynai - Metalist Kharkiv	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
31.08.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:0
30.09.23	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:2
Ukrainian Cup
02.08.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.07.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:1

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