Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	2.48	3	2.78
	2.70	3.13	2.52	Watch
	2.52	3	2.65
	2.5	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.71)	3.03 ↓ (3.16)	2.65 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
35.7%

Draw
30%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

28.8%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Metalist Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metalist (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 2. Mizyuk O. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 31. Porokh B. 17. Prykhodko D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O.	71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 2. Gavrushko I. 19. Kozak B. 10. Kuzmyn R. 28. Len O. 5. Palyukh S. 17. Slyva R. 33. Sydorenko D. 8. Teplyi V. 21. Tolochko R. (C) 9. Voytikhovskiy M.
Substitutes
47. Andreev R. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 32. Shakhmayev M. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G)	4. Basovskyi D. 97. Bogomaz N. 35. Bogoslavskyi A. 79. Borovskyi A. 27. Nyzhnyk A. 6. Pavlyuk K. 12. Potimkov I. (G) 93. Shmygelskiy B. 20. Syomka A. 3. Zin A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Len O. ⚽,
28', Bagachanskyi M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Prykhodko D. ↓, Lutsiv V. ↑,
60', Tsvirenko O. ↓, Lutsiv P. ↑,
76', Isaenko Y. ↓, Orikhovskyi M. ↑,
76', Bagachanskyi M. ↓, Sherstyuk Y. ↑,
79', Porokh B. 🟨,
86', Sydorenko D. 🟨,
87', Teplyi V. ↓, Nyzhnyk A. ↑,
87', Kozak B. ↓, Syomka A. ↑,
88', Pidruchnyi D. ↓, Palyanychka K. ↑,
90+3', Kuzmyn R. ↓, Shmygelskiy B. ↑,
90+3', Tolochko R. ↓, Zin A. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Metalist may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.7:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.11.25	Inhulets - Metalist Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
15.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Vorskla Poltava	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLT
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:3 ✺
17.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Chernihiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
16.08.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0
04.10.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:1
07.08.24	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1
06.10.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2
06.08.23	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalist Kharkiv	3:1
18.10.21	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1

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