Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Sport Complex Podillia (Khmelnytskyi)


	Podillya Khmelnytskyi		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	3.39	3.41	1.98	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.15)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	2.02 (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Podillya Khmelnytskyi
27.7%

Draw
27%

Metalist Kharkiv
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

26.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

25.7%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Podillya Khmelnytskyi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Podillya Khmelnytskyi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Yurchuk V. (G) 18. Azizov D. 10. Kulish M. 5. Lys N. 20. Nikolyshyn O. 13. Profatilo Y. 21. Rudyuk V. 35. Savin A. (C) 27. Serbinov D. 19. Shkinder V. 77. Snizhko O.	25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. 24. Fedoriv V. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 6. Teplyakov D. 20. Vernattus D.
Substitutes
88. Baran R. 9. Gemega V. 99. Kondratyuk J. (G) 17. Kozyrenko Y. 98. Ponomarenko I. (G) 2. Savchuk P. 6. Serafimov O.	98. Orikhovskyi M. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 17. Prykhodko D. 32. Shakhmayev M. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 40. Shevchenko M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Lys N. (Own goal),
11', Azizov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Savin A. ↓, Serafimov O. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Prykhodko D. ⚽,
88', Digtyar K. ↓, Sherstyuk Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga and 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation)).

Podillya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Metalist's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Metalist could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Podillya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Podillya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Podillya Khmelnytskyi
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Chernihiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.09.25	Inhulets - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTWL
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.10.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Bukovyna Chernivtsi - Metalist Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.10.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	0:3
17.08.24	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1
15.10.23	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0
12.08.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	1:1
24.10.21	Metalist Kharkiv - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	3:0

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