Match Info

Premier League - Round 28

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ternopilsky Misky Stadion (Ternopil)

Referee: Afanasyev O. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	6.1	3.9	1.52
	6.62	3.9	1.52
	7.77	4.58	1.46	Watch
	6	3.6	1.53
	6.4	3.88	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.58 ↓ (7.54)	3.97 ↓ (4.59)	1.52 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
14.3%

Draw
23.7%

Polissya Zhytomyr
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.6%

20.8%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

19.8%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polissya Zhytomyr could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Epitsentr Kamianets Podilskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Polissya (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Fedotov N. (G) 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 28. Lipovuz A. 77. Coch N. 3. Grygorashchuk S. 97. Klymets O. (C) 67. Luchkevych V. 39. Ceberio J. 5. Zaporozhets E. 9. Joaquinete 20. Sydun V.	21. Bushchan G. (G) 31. Maisuradze G. 16. Krasniqi I. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 11. Gutsulyak O. 18. Andriyevski O. 27. Fedor O. 45. Bragaru M. 89. Gayduchyk M.
Substitutes
31. Bilyk O. (G) 17. Demchenko Y. 15. Holub D. 6. Kovalets K. 11. Krystin S. 22. Krystin V. 7. Matkevych A. 8. Myronyuk M. 2. Oliveira A. 21. Supryaga V. 34. Tanchyk V. 37. Vavshko A. (G)	14. Emerllahu L. 9. Filippov O. 35. Koberniuk K. 95. Krasnopir I. 4. Kravchenko M. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 7. Nazarenko O. 19. Shepelev V. 98. Talko D. (G) 29. Tomandzoto B. 22. Veleten V.
Coaches
Nagornyak S.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Luchkevych V. ↓, Tanchyk V. ↑,
49', 1 - 0, Joaquinete ⚽, Lipovuz A. (A),
54', 2 - 0, Tanchyk V. ⚽, Klymets O. (A),
55', Bragaru M. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
55', Fedor O. ↓, Filippov O. ↑,
55', Gayduchyk M. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Coch N. (Own goal),
60', Gutsulyak O. ↓, Emerllahu L. ↑,
64', 2 - 2, Nazarenko O. ⚽, Krasnopir I. (A),
68', Maisuradze G. ↓, Kravchenko M. ↑,
68', Lipovuz A. ↓, Myronyuk M. ↑,
83', Kyryukhantsev I. ↓, Supryaga V. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Joaquinete (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟨,
90+8', Sarapiy E. (Penalty Awarded),
90+9', Sydun V. ↓, Kovalets K. ↑,
90+9', Joaquinete ↓, Oliveira A. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Epitsentr has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Polissya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Polissya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Polissya is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Epitsentr won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Epitsentr won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15:5	10	18
7	Epitsentr	7	2	2	3	6:7	-1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
Ukrainian Premier League
09.05.26	Obolon - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	2:2 ✺
02.05.26	Veres Rivne - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:3 ✺
27.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Oleksandriya	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Karpaty Lviv	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	Zorya Luhansk - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTTL
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
08.05.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Oleksandriya	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
23.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	0:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
22.10.22	Polissya Zhytomyr - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	3:0
03.09.22	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:2

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