Match Info
TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 23Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Erbaaspor |
|
Derince Belediyespor |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.35 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.71 |
3.64 |
4.7 |
|
 |
1.63 |
3.66 |
4.98 |
|
 |
1.62 |
3.56 |
4.98 |
|
 |
1.64 |
3.35 |
4.8 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.61) |
3.51 ↓
(3.72) |
4.85 ↑
(4.79) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Erbaaspor
55.3% | Draw
25.9% | Derince Belediyespor
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Derince Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Erbaaspor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Aynaoglu O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 0, Aynaoglu O. ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14). Erbaaspor is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Derince Belediyespor is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Erbaaspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Erbaaspor is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Erbaaspor won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3). Including matches at home between the teams Erbaaspor won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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