Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Erbaaspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	8	4.8	1.29
	22	8	1.1
	8.69	5.36	1.23
	9.8	5.24	1.26	Watch
	11.2	5.25	1.22
	22	8	1.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.62 ↑ (7.17)	6.11 ↑ (4.5)	1.2 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
6.9%

Draw
15.3%

Serik Belediyespor
77.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.8%

20.4%

66.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

19.2%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erbaaspor's form might have worsened.

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erbaaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erbaaspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
13', 0 - 1, Soy E. (Pen),
22', 0 - 2, Narin S. ⚽,
24', 0 - 3, Soy E. ⚽,
35', 0 - 4, Soy E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
81', 0 - 5, Eyibil E. ⚽,
89', 0 - 6, Ekinci C. ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Serik Belediyespor is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erbaaspor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.04.25	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Erbaaspor	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Erbaaspor - Somaspor	6:3 ✺
13.04.25	Ankara Demirspor - Erbaaspor	4:2 ✺
02.04.25	Nazillispor - Erbaaspor	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Erbaaspor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.04.25	Serik Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	5:0 ✺
20.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Serik Belediyespor	2:2 ✺
13.04.25	Serik Belediyespor - Menemenspor	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Elazığspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
02.04.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Serik Belediyespor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
22.12.24	Serik Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	3:0

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