Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Erbaaspor		Somaspor

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.3	2.5
	2.16	4.1	2.7
	2.37	3.28	2.9
	2.01	3.62	3.18
	1.98	3.5	3.24
	2.16	4.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.93)	3.65 ↑ (3.36)	2.87 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erbaaspor
42.5%

Draw
25.3%

Somaspor
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erbaaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Somaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Somaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erbaaspor than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erbaaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Somaspor than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Somaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erbaaspor - Somaspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Somaspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Erbaaspor (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Erbaaspor (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Somaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
24', 1 - 0, Sengul M. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Aynaoglu O. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Adiguzel H. ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Adiguzel H. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
49', 3 - 2, Aynaoglu O. ⚽,
51', 3 - 3, Basaran A. ⚽,
54', 4 - 3, Balci O. ⚽,
75', 5 - 3, Istemi M. ⚽,
86', 6 - 3, Guler O. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 13).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Erbaaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erbaaspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erbaaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.04.25	Ankara Demirspor - Erbaaspor	4:2 ✺
02.04.25	Nazillispor - Erbaaspor	1:2 ✺
26.03.25	Erbaaspor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Erbaaspor	2:5 ✺
16.03.25	Erbaaspor - Menemenspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 LWWWL
- Somaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
13.04.25	Somaspor - Arnavutköy	3:2 ✺
06.04.25	Aksaray Belediyespor - Somaspor	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Somaspor	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Somaspor - Menemenspor	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Elazığspor - Somaspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
08.12.24	Somaspor - Erbaaspor	1:1

Erbaaspor - Somaspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide