Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HESSEN - ROUND 15

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Erlensee		SV Steinbach

	1	X	2
	1.79	4.05	3.29
	1.79	4.09	3.29
	1.77	3.98	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.75)	4.04 ↓ (4.2)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlensee
50.7%

Draw
22.4%

SV Steinbach
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

21.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

18.2%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

SV Steinbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erlensee that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SV Steinbach than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 in the zone Oberliga Hessen (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Erlensee is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SV Steinbach has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Erlensee could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Erlensee will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Erlensee won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Erlensee won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 1906 Erlensee
German Oberliga Hessen
17.10.23	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Erlensee	2:2 ✺
14.10.23	Erlensee - Baunatal	1:2 ✺
03.10.23	Gießen - Erlensee	1:1 ✺
24.09.23	Eddersheim - Erlensee	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Erlensee - Fernwald	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLTLW
- SV Steinbach
German Oberliga Hessen
21.10.23	SV Steinbach - Hanauer	1:4 ✺
14.10.23	Waldgirmes - SV Steinbach	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	SV Steinbach - Rot-Weiss Walldorf	0:3 ✺
30.09.23	Bayern Alzenau - SV Steinbach	5:0 ✺
27.09.23	SV Steinbach - Hünfelder	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
27.05.23	SV Steinbach - Erlensee	4:1
05.11.22	Erlensee - SV Steinbach	4:1
27.11.21	Erlensee - SV Steinbach	6:0
17.10.20	Erlensee - SV Steinbach	1:1

Erlensee - SV Steinbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide