Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 3 July 2024, Wednesday


	Erlensee		Hanau

	1	X	2
	3.25	4	1.9
	3.24	3.95	1.84
	3.22	4.18	1.86	Watch
	3.14	4.2	1.85	Watch
	3.25	4	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.67)	4.07 ↓ (4.33)	1.87 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlensee
28.5%

Draw
22.5%

Hanau
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

21%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

20.3%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erlensee's form might have worsened.

Hanau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erlensee, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanau than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hanau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erlensee - Hanau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Erlensee has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hanau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hanau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hanau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erlensee won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Erlensee won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 1906 Erlensee
Club Friendly
27.06.24	Erlensee - Hanauer	1:5 ✺
German Oberliga Hessen
01.06.24	Eintracht Stadtallendorf - Erlensee	2:0 ✺
25.05.24	Erlensee - Hanau	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	SV Steinbach - Erlensee	3:2 ✺
11.05.24	Erlensee - Türk Gücü Friedberg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL
- FC Hanau 93
German Oberliga Hessen
01.06.24	Hanau - Fernwald	3:5 ✺
25.05.24	Erlensee - Hanau	0:0 ✺
17.05.24	Hanauer - Hanau	5:1 ✺
11.05.24	Waldgirmes - Hanau	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Hanau - Rot-Weiss Walldorf	6:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
25.05.24	Erlensee - Hanau	0:0
22.11.23	Hanau - Erlensee	1:3
20.05.23	Erlensee - Hanau	4:1
29.10.22	Hanau - Erlensee	1:1
29.09.21	Hanau - Erlensee	3:1

Erlensee - Hanau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide