Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Hessen - Round 31

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Erlensee		Türk Gücü Friedberg

	1	X	2
	5	5.5	1.4
	5.28	5.74	1.4
	5.1	6.27	1.4
	6.16	5.02	1.39
	5	5.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.31 ↑ (5.27)	5.61 ↑ (4.97)	1.4 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlensee
17.4%

Draw
16.5%

Türk Gücü Friedberg
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

18.7%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

17.9%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlensee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Türk Gücü Friedberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlensee than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Türk Gücü Friedberg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
9', 0 - 1, Schorr P. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Yikilmaz K. ⚽,
35', 0 - 3, Michel N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Oberliga Play Offs).

Erlensee has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Türk Gücü Friedberg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Türk Gücü Friedberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Türk Gücü Friedberg is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Erlensee won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Erlensee won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 1906 Erlensee
German Oberliga Hessen
04.05.24	Baunatal - Erlensee	3:0 ✺
20.04.24	Marburg - Erlensee	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Erlensee - Eddersheim	0:2 ✺
06.04.24	Fernwald - Erlensee	4:0 ✺
28.03.24	Erlensee - Gießen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Türk Gücü Friedberg
German Oberliga Hessen
08.05.24	Eddersheim - Türk Gücü Friedberg	0:2 ✺
04.05.24	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Hanauer	2:4 ✺
27.04.24	Waldgirmes - Türk Gücü Friedberg	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Rot-Weiss Walldorf	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Bayern Alzenau - Türk Gücü Friedberg	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hessen
17.10.23	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Erlensee	2:2
06.09.22	Erlensee - Türk Gücü Friedberg	1:4
02.08.22	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Erlensee	2:2
23.09.20	Türk Gücü Friedberg - Erlensee	3:1

Erlensee - Türk Gücü Friedberg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide