Match Info

Date: 6 April 2021, Tuesday


	Ermis Aradippou		Ethnikos Achna

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.9	2.55
	2.8	2.63	2.7
	2.75	2.75	2.65
	2.95	2.81	2.86
	2.75	2.7	2.7
	2.76	2.96	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.38)	2.79 ↓ (3.17)	2.69 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ermis Aradippou
33%

Draw
32.9%

Ethnikos Achna
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.4%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

21%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ermis Aradippou's form might have worsened.

Ethnikos Achna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ermis Aradippou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethnikos Achna than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethnikos Achna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ermis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ethnikos Achna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Ermis have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ermis won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 21-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Ermis won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
19.03.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ermis Aradippou	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Ermis Aradippou	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2 ✺
27.02.21	Doxa Katokopias - Ermis Aradippou	1:1 ✺
22.02.21	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTL
- Ethnikos Achna
Cypriot First Division
20.03.21	Ethnikos Achna - Enosis Neon Paralimni	1:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
17.03.21	Olympiacos Nicosia - Ethnikos Achna	1:0 ✺
Cypriot First Division
13.03.21	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	0:2 ✺
08.03.21	Ethnikos Achna - Doxa Katokopias	2:1 ✺
Cypriot Cup
03.03.21	Ethnikos Achna - Olympiacos Nicosia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
24.12.20	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	0:0
14.09.20	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	0:2
02.01.18	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	0:0
24.09.17	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	2:0
21.05.17	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	3:4
12.04.17	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	1:1
08.01.17	Ethnikos Achna - Ermis Aradippou	3:1

Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide