Match Info

Date: 12 April 2021, Monday


	Paphos		Ermis Aradippou

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6
	1.48	3.75	5.3
	1.44	4.1	5.8
	1.46	4.62	6.71
	1.44	4	6
	1.47	4.4	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.5)	4.15 ↑ (3.89)	5.99 ↑ (5.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
62.7%

Draw
22%

Ermis Aradippou
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

23.3%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.9%

19.1%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Ermis Aradippou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paphos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermis Aradippou than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Paphos - Ermis Aradippou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Paphos is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ermis is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paphos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Paphos have a series of home games.

In this match Paphos is certain favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Paphos won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Paphos won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
Cypriot First Division
20.03.21	Paphos - Nea Salamis	3:0 ✺
12.03.21	Doxa Katokopias - Paphos	1:0 ✺
06.03.21	Paphos - APOEL	1:1 ✺
01.03.21	Paphos - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	2:1 ✺
22.02.21	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWW
- Ermis Aradippou
Cypriot First Division
06.04.21	Ermis Aradippou - Ethnikos Achna	1:2 ✺
19.03.21	Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion - Ermis Aradippou	2:2 ✺
14.03.21	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Ermis Aradippou	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Ermis Aradippou - Nea Salamis	1:2 ✺
27.02.21	Doxa Katokopias - Ermis Aradippou	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
22.02.21	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	3:1
06.12.20	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	1:1
17.05.19	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	1:2
06.04.19	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	4:1
11.02.19	Paphos - Ermis Aradippou	2:1
10.11.18	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	3:0
21.04.18	Ermis Aradippou - Paphos	0:1

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