Match Info

ALBANIA: Superliga - Round 30

Date: 8 April 2024, Monday


	Erzeni		Egnatia Rrogozhinë

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.4	1.75	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.7
	4.4	3.44	1.73
	4.5	3.35	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.32)	3.4 ↓ (3.48)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzeni
20.6%

Draw
26.8%

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.3%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

25.6%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Erzeni aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hasanbelli K. (G) 36. Atanda S. 22. Blazevic E. 10. Kahrimanovic A. 8. Maliqi B. 18. Mellugja D. 17. Migone R. 28. Mihana R. 25. Peposhi A. 15. Sadiki N. 11. Zeka A.	1. Sherri A. (G) 6. Aleksi A. 7. Drame Y. 3. Dulysse F. 44. Fangaj A. 11. Fernando Medeiros 77. Ibrahimoglu M. 13. Malota R. 16. Ndreca E. 70. Spahiu S. 17. Zejnullai A.
Substitutes
19. Ademi A. 16. Andrei Alba 13. Asani X. 6. Dakaj A. 4. Kacbufi A. 7. Kadriu F. 27. Osmanllari A. 12. Xhika D. (G)	28. Ahmetaj A. 12. Dabjani I. (G) 14. Doukouo L. 4. Duka A. 23. Lubas J. 9. Montenegro J. 22. Morina I. 24. Rama R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Maliqi B. 🟨,
44', Fernando Medeiros 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Dulysse F. 🟨,
59', Spahiu S. 🟨,
60', Spahiu S. 🟥,
65', Drame Y. ↓, Montenegro J. ↑,
65', Zejnullai A. ↓, Ahmetaj A. ↑,
71', Kahrimanovic A. ↓, Kadriu F. ↑,
78', Fernando Medeiros ↓, Rama R. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Zeka A. ⚽,
90+4', Mihana R. ↓, Kacbufi A. ↑,
90+5', Malota R. 🟨,
90+5', Aleksi A. 🟨,
90+6', Hasanbelli K. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzeni won 1.

Erzeni is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Egnatia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Erzeni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Egnatia is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Erzeni won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzeni won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Erzeni
Albanian Super League
29.03.24	Vllaznia Shkodër - Erzeni	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Erzeni - Laçi	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Erzeni - Partizani Tirana	0:4 ✺
Albanian Cup
06.03.24	Vllaznia Shkodër - Erzeni	6:1 ET ✺
Albanian Super League
02.03.24	Teuta Durrës - Erzeni	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLLL
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Cup
03.04.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Vllaznia Shkodër	1:0 ✺
Albanian Super League
29.03.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Kukësi	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Skënderbeu Korçë - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
Albanian Cup
05.03.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Laçi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Super League
29.01.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Erzeni	3:2
04.11.23	Erzeni - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1
13.09.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Erzeni	4:3
21.05.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Erzeni	3:2
10.03.23	Erzeni - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:1
14.01.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Erzeni	1:1

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