Match Info

ALBANIA: Super Cup - Final

Date: 26 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana)


	Egnatia Rrogozhinë		Kukësi

	1	X	2
	1.17	6	13
	1.17	5.85	13.38
	1.21	5.84	15.04	Watch
	1.17	6	15
	1.12	6.55	15.5	Watch
	1.17	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.54)	6.04 ↑ (3.57)	14.15 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Egnatia Rrogozhinë
78.4%

Draw
15.2%

Kukësi
6.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

25%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.9%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Egnatia Rrogozhinë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Egnatia Rrogozhinë's performance.

Kukësi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kukësi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egnatia Rrogozhinë than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Egnatia Rrogozhinë that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kukësi than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kukësi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Kukësi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dabjani I. (G) 6. Aleksi A. 11. Bakayoko S. 44. Fangaj A. 10. Lushkja R. 13. Malota R. 16. Ndreca E. 24. Rama R. 36. Ujka S. 19. Xhemajli A. 17. Zejnullai A.	1. Dervishi A. (G) 6. Basit Abiodun Y. 9. Beshiraj M. 22. Danaj R. 18. Dragoshi R. 10. Hasaj F. 15. Kapllanaj X. 5. Lamellari E. 8. Metani A. 14. Sadiq 19. Selita G.
Substitutes
28. Ahmetaj A. 4. Aliyev Z. 14. Doukouo L. 2. Duka A. 3. Dulysse F. 82. Kasa R. 1. Kuka K. (G) 5. Veseli F. 8. Wotlai D. 18. Yahaya M.	20. Bircaj L. 25. Domi A. 11. Hilaj K. 17. Makouangou O. 3. Mejdani K. 2. Momoh D. 21. Peposhi D. 24. Pica B. 4. Sulce A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Ujka S. ⚽,
40', Kapllanaj X. ↓, Makouangou O. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Aleksi A. 🟨,
56', Metani A. ↓, Hilaj K. ↑,
56', Selita G. ↓, Sulce A. ↑,
61', Rama R. ↓, Wotlai D. ↑,
61', Zejnullai A. ↓, Kasa R. ↑,
68', Wotlai D. 🟨,
76', Ujka S. ↓, Doukouo L. ↑,
81', Sadiq ↓, Mejdani K. ↑,
81', Basit Abiodun Y. ↓, Bircaj L. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Bakayoko S. ⚽,
89', Aleksi A. ↓, Dulysse F. ↑,
89', Lushkja R. ↓, Ahmetaj A. ↑,
90+2', Hasaj F. 🟨,
90+2', Kasa R. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Egnatia Rrogozhinë
Albanian Super League
21.12.24	Dinamo City - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:1 ✺
15.12.24	Teuta Durrës - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Skënderbeu Korçë	1:0 ✺
05.12.24	Partizani Tirana - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - AF Elbasani	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTW
- KS Kukësi
Albanian First Division
21.12.24	Korabi Peshkopi - Kukësi	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Kukësi - Valbona	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Flamurtari Vlorë - Kukësi	2:0 ✺
25.11.24	Kukësi - Vora	0:4 ✺
Albanian Cup
20.11.24	Kukësi - Pogradeci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian Cup
14.05.24	Kukësi - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:1
Albanian Super League
29.03.24	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Kukësi	1:0
19.01.24	Kukësi - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	1:4
31.10.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Kukësi	2:1
03.09.23	Kukësi - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:4
01.04.23	Kukësi - Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0:3
26.01.23	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Kukësi	1:2

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