Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 19

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX


	Erzurumspor		Şanlıurfaspor

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.72	3.6	5
	1.65	3.6	5.31	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.8
	1.69	3.44	5.05
	1.72	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)	3.48 ↓ (3.73)	5.02 ↓ (5.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
54.9%

Draw
26.6%

Şanlıurfaspor
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.1%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

23.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Şanlıurfaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Şanlıurfaspor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Erzurumspor - Şanlıurfaspor Predictions

Users Predictions: Erzurumspor will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 21. Roshi O. 53. Ovacikli O. 4. Akkan G. 2. Akbas M. 15. Giorbelidze G. 8. Akgun S. 91. Teklic T. 25. Azubuike O. 10. Tozlu E. 11. Mamba S.	35. Tokotaev E. (G) 77. Acer M. 4. Mboula U. 5. Eren F. 26. Acar H. 15. Ashkovski S. 82. Begic A. 23. Ercelik H. 19. Yardimci N. 14. Kayode O. (C) 8. Ofosu R.
Substitutes
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 28. Karakas E. 42. Kara O. 9. Kilinc K. 3. Kirtay Y. 7. Koc S. 20. Ozhan F. 17. Sarikaya S. 18. Sert O. 88. Tasev T.	52. Aybasti A. 7. Cetin F. 10. Forsell P. 99. Gokbayrak A. 13. Kalyoncu E. (G) 41. Koyuncu E. A. 90. Menize C. 20. Sunger A. (G) 11. Yuksel M.
Coaches
Kutlu H.	Karafirtinalar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Begic A. 🟨,
14', Akkan G. 🟨,
35', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mamba S. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
46', Akkan G. ↓, Kirtay Y. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Acar H. ⚽, Ofosu R. (A),
70', Tozlu E. 🟨,
71', Teklic T. ↓, Kilinc K. ↑,
72', Roshi O. ↓, Sarikaya S. ↑,
74', Tozlu E. 🟨,
81', Begic A. ↓, Menize C. ↑,
86', Ofosu R. 🟨,
86', Ofosu R. ↓, Gokbayrak A. ↑,
86', Ovacikli O. ↓, Koc S. ↑,
90+5', Kayode O. ↓, Forsell P. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Erzurumspor is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Şanlıurfaspor is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Şanlıurfaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Erzurumspor is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish Cup
09.01.25	Erzurumspor - Göztepe	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
05.01.25	Umraniyespor - Erzurumspor	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	0:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
Turkish First League
14.12.24	İstanbulspor - Erzurumspor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LTTWL
- Şanlıurfaspor
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Çorum	0:0 ✺
21.12.24	Manisa FK - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Pendikspor	2:1 ✺
09.12.24	Amed SK - Şanlıurfaspor	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Şanlıurfaspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
04.02.24	Erzurumspor - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0
03.09.23	Şanlıurfaspor - Erzurumspor	0:0

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