The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 30.5%
Draw 28.2%
Göztepe 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23%
25.9%
51.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
25.4%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.
Göztepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Göztepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Göztepe than the current prediction. (+10.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Göztepe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
0%
81.8%
Erzurumspor - Göztepe Predictions
Users Predictions:
Göztepe will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bakirbas G. (G) 17. Sarikaya S. 3. Kirtay Y. 22. Yumlu M. 23. Bayrak C. 18. Sert O. 7. Koc S. 20. Ozhan F. 28. Karakas E. 88. Tasev T. 9. Kilinc K.
1. Ozcimen A. (G) 4. Altikardes T. 26. Bokele M. 5. Heliton 77. Bayrak O. 8. Ildiz A. 16. Dennis A. 7. Matsuki K. 12. Koybasi I. 6. Victor Hugo 79. Romulo
Substitutes
34. Agdag M. T. 8. Akgun S. 4. Akkan G. 5. Artarslan B. 83. Buyukdere E. 30. Fettahoglu M. 42. Kara O. 84. Kizilcim Y. 11. Mamba S. 98. Moradaoglu K. (G)
66. Djalma Silva 22. Gunter K. 11. Juan Santos 97. Lis M. (G) 18. Malak I. 20. Miroshi N. 24. Nielsen L. 30. Sangare N. 43. Tijanic D.
Coaches
Kutlu H.
Stoilov S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Victor Hugo ⚽, Bayrak O. (A),
37', Romulo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dennis A. ↓, Miroshi N. ↑,
46', Heliton ↓, Gunter K. ↑,
46', Bokele M. ↓, Nielsen L. ↑,
46', Romulo ↓, Sangare N. ↑,
57', Sarikaya S. 🟨,
66', Matsuki K. ↓, Malak I. ↑,
67', Kilinc K. ↓, Fettahoglu M. ↑,
67', Tasev T. ↓, Mamba S. ↑,
76', Koc S. ↓, Akkan G. ↑,
80', Kirtay Y. ↓, Kara O. ↑,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 1.
Recent matches Erzurumspor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Göztepe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Göztepe will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Erzurumspor won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.1:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Erzurumspor won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).
Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Bulgaria
Croatia
Montenegro
North-macedonia
Slovenia
Turkey
Watch
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Bakirbas G. (G) 
Koc S. 
Tasev T. 
Bokele M. 
Heliton 
Dennis A. 
Matsuki K. 
Lis M. (G) 
Miroshi N. 
Nielsen L. 
Tijanic D. 
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