Match Info

1. Lig - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Kâzım Karabekir Stadyumu (Erzurum)

Referee: Sen A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Erzurumspor		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	11	Watch
	1.22	5.51	11.05	Watch
	1.14	7.45	14.79
	1.17	6.87	14.35	Watch
	1.22	5.5	12
	1.26	5.31	11.1	Watch
	1.12	7	17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.11)	6.13 ↓ (7.55)	13.04 ↓ (16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
77.7%

Draw
15.2%

Serik Belediyespor
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.2%

12.1%

5.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Erzurumspor - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Orbanic M. (G) 53. Ovacikli O. 22. Yumlu M. (C) 3. Kirtay Y. 15. Giorbelidze G. 16. Kabak A. 99. Fettahoglu M. 24. Crociata G. 8. Akgun S. 65. Rodriguez M. 10. Tozlu E.	21. Sapan V. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 5. Demir C. 98. Topalli J. 58. Asan B. 20. Dilli S. (C) 44. Cavlan C. 77. Nalepa M. 79. Altiparmak G.
Substitutes
11. Akpinar M. 1. Anapa E. (G) 23. Bayrak C. 19. Fernando Andrade 4. Gerxhaliu A. 77. Keser B. 7. Sever I. 29. Sylla C. 2. Ulgen A. 9. Yener H.	14. Adeola R. 39. Demirozu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 66. Kosker K. 88. Nefiz E. 40. Nwachukwu C. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S.
Coaches
Ozbalta S.	Pasali S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Montes A. (Own goal),
32', Topalli J. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 2 - 0, Fettahoglu M. ⚽,
43', Martynov A. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cavlan C. ↓, Nwachukwu C. ↑,
58', Topalli J. ↓, Adeola R. ↑,
63', Ceylan B. 🟨,
68', Kabak A. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
68', Rodriguez M. ↓, Keser B. ↑,
73', Asan B. 🟨,
75', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Fernando Andrade ↑,
75', Tozlu E. ↓, Sylla C. ↑,
80', Yumlu M. ↓, Gerxhaliu A. ↑,
81', 3 - 0, Fernando Andrade ⚽, Akpinar M. (A),
83', 4 - 0, Akgun S. ⚽,
83', Ceylan B. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
83', Dilli S. ↓, Koc A. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Erzurumspor is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Serik Belediyespor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Serik Belediyespor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Erzurumspor has had a series of away games.

In this match, Erzurumspor is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Erzurumspor: Baiye B. (Yellow Cards) Ozhan F. (Suspended) Saglik S. (Inactive) Sasi F. (Inactive) Yigit E. (Suspended)

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Serik Belediyespor: Sadygov I. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Erzurumspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish First League
18.02.26	Keçiörengücü - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Fenerbahçe - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Turkish First League
31.01.26	Erzurumspor - Sarıyer	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pendikspor - Erzurumspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
18.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Çorum	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Bandırmaspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:3 ✺
08.02.26	Serik Belediyespor - Igdirspor	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Bodrumspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
28.09.25	Serik Belediyespor - Erzurumspor	1:1

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