Match Info

1. Lig - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Esenyurt Necmi Kadıoğlu Stadium (Istanbul)

Referee: Tokail F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Serik Belediyespor		Erokspor

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.2	Watch
	13.37	6.59	1.15	Watch
	14.05	6.54	1.19
	14.11	6.45	1.19	Watch
	13	6	1.2
	11.7	6.64	1.2	Watch
	12	6.33	1.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.75 ↑ (5.2)	6.36 ↑ (4.54)	1.19 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
7.3%

Draw
14.6%

Erokspor
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

20.4%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

19.8%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serik Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Erokspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erokspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erokspor than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erokspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Erokspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Erokspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Gunes E. (G) 22. Ceylan B. 4. Martynov A. 69. Okoro J. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S. 14. Adeola R. 58. Asan B. 88. Nefiz E. 12. Guibero R. 9. Sadygov I.	34. Cetin E. (G) 77. Bilazer H. 15. Nzaba F. 14. Ulas O. 33. Alic E. 6. Jack R. (C) 89. Amilton 99. Beyaz O. 12. Kanga G. 73. Lus B. 10. Kayode O.
Substitutes
61. Ibrahimoglu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 18. Spasov G. 50. Terzi E. 87. Turgen S.	7. Catakovic H. 97. Cavare D. 11. Faye M. 78. Isik E. 8. Karaman A. 17. Korkmaz E. 20. Niyaz R. 44. Oral E. A. (G) 1. Tetik B. (G) 16. Yasar A.
Coaches
Pasali S.	Ozkoylu O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Skvortsov L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Martynov A. 🟨,
54', Ceylan B. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
56', Guibero R. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Beyaz O. ⚽, Alic E. (A),
62', Nefiz E. ↓, Ibrahimoglu M. ↑,
64', Jack R. ↓, Niyaz R. ↑,
64', Lus B. ↓, Faye M. ↑,
69', Okoro J. 🟨,
71', Okoro J. 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Kanga G. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Guibero R. ↓, Spasov G. ↑,
76', Kanga G. ↓, Karaman A. ↑,
76', Beyaz O. ↓, Catakovic H. ↑,
84', Nzaba F. ↓, Cavare D. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)).

Serik Belediyespor is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Erokspor has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Erokspor is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Dilli S. (Suspended) Terzi E. (Yellow Cards) Tunali M. (Suspended) Yucedag E. (Inactive)

There will not play in Erokspor: Gedik E. (Suspended) Kahveci M. (Suspended) Okyar M. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:14. (average 0:4.7).

Including home match between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Erokspor	8	0	5	3	4:10	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
18.01.26	Umraniyespor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
10.01.26	Serik Belediyespor - İstanbulspor	0:3 ✺
28.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Boluspor	1:4 ✺
21.12.25	Hatayspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Erokspor
Turkish First League
17.01.26	Erokspor - Vanspor	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Adana Demirspor - Erokspor	0:5 ✺
27.12.25	Pendikspor - Erokspor	0:0 ✺
19.12.25	Erokspor - Sarıyer	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Keçiörengücü - Erokspor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
23.08.25	Erokspor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0
Turkish Second League White Group
04.05.24	Serik Belediyespor - Erokspor	0:6
24.12.23	Erokspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0

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