The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erzurumspor 34.2%
Draw 30.4%
İstanbul Başakşehir 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29%
28.9%
42.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
19.4%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Erzurumspor's performance.
İstanbul Başakşehir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbul Başakşehir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erzurumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for İstanbul Başakşehir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
45%
25%
Erzurumspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Predictions
Users Predictions:
40 users predict this event. Erzurumspor will win (votes: 12 - 30%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 10 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 45%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.6% – 60.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig).
Erzurum BB has a good chance of relegated (57%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Başakşehir has a chance of relegated (21%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.
Erzurum BB is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Başakşehir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Başakşehir could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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