Match Info

Date: 11 April 2021, Sunday


	Erzurumspor		Beşiktaş

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.75	1.83
	4	3.6	1.82	Watch
	4	3.55	1.82
	4.43	3.72	1.87
	4.2	3.6	1.8	Watch
	4.15	3.82	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.93)	3.69 ↓ (3.93)	1.82 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erzurumspor
23%

Draw
25.5%

Beşiktaş
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

23.9%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

19.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Beşiktaş has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Beşiktaş might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erzurumspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Beşiktaş could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	4.7%	83.7%

Erzurumspor - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to 1. Lig and 1 in the zone Promotion to Champions League (Qualification)).

Erzurum BB has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

Beşiktaş has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (94%), has a good chance of win league (81%).

Erzurum BB is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Beşiktaş is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Erzurum BB won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Erzurum BB won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erzurumspor
Turkish Super League
07.04.21	Gençlerbirliği - Erzurumspor	1:1 ✺
04.04.21	Erzurumspor - Konyaspor	1:2 ✺
21.03.21	Antalyaspor - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
14.03.21	Erzurumspor - Trabzonspor	0:0 ✺
08.03.21	Göztepe - Erzurumspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLTL
- Beşiktaş
Turkish Super League
07.04.21	Beşiktaş - Alanyaspor	3:0 ✺
04.04.21	Kasımpaşa - Beşiktaş	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Beşiktaş - Fenerbahçe	1:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
16.03.21	Beşiktaş - İstanbul Başakşehir	3:2 ET ✺
Turkish Super League
12.03.21	İstanbul Başakşehir - Beşiktaş	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
20.12.20	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	4:0
Turkish Cup
22.01.20	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	2:3
15.01.20	Erzurumspor - Beşiktaş	3:2
Turkish Super League
25.01.19	Beşiktaş - Erzurumspor	1:1
19.08.18	Erzurumspor - Beşiktaş	1:3

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