Match Info

Landspokal Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.27	Watch
	8.3	5.2	1.31	Watch
	9.4	5.38	1.3
	7.44	5.06	1.36	Watch
	8	4.6	1.3
	8.94	5.46	1.29	Watch
	9	5	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.58 ↑ (7.97)	5.17 ↑ (4.34)	1.3 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
10.8%

Draw
17.9%

Copenhagen
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

21.2%

67.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

18.5%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Copenhagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Copenhagen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	9.1%	90.9%

Esbjerg - Copenhagen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Copenhagen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Copenhagen will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCrorie R. (G) 18. Hansen M. 4. Tjornelund P. 3. Skipper A. 15. Stagaard T. 5. Troelsen A. 8. Maden M. 12. Lausen A. 6. Vigen L. (C) 11. Bjur P. 80. Brajanac M.	1. Kotarski D. (G) 5. Gabriel Pereira 10. Elyounoussi M. 12. Lerager L. (C) 6. Hatzidiakos P. 21. Madsen M. 9. Moukoko Y. 20. Suzuki J. 30. Achouri E. 39. Dadason V. 24. Meling B.
Substitutes
9. Ankersen J. 27. Baldursson B. 32. Blicher N. 2. Buus J. 10. Gyamfi R. 14. Kolawole J. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 17. Lucena J. 39. Strandby N.	7. Claesson V. 27. Delaney T. 4. Garananga M. 11. Larsson J. 15. Lopez M. 16. Robert 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 23. Sarapata D. 22. Zague Y.
Coaches
Manoharan S.	Neestrup J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Dadason V. ⚽, Achouri E. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Elyounoussi M. ⚽, Moukoko Y. (A),
35', 0 - 3, Achouri E. ⚽, Dadason V. (A),
42', 1 - 3, Brajanac M. ⚽, Tjornelund P. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Meling B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
63', Achouri E. ↓, Larsson J. ↑,
66', Vigen L. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
72', 1 - 4, Dadason V. ⚽, Hatzidiakos P. (A),
73', Madsen M. ↓, Delaney T. ↑,
73', Moukoko Y. ↓, Claesson V. ↑,
74', 2 - 4, Bjur P. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
75', Tjornelund P. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
75', Hansen M. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
80', Kolawole J. 🟨,
85', Brajanac M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
87', Lerager L. ↓, Sarapata D. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 2.

Esbjerg is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Copenhagen has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Esbjerg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Copenhagen is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:37. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.9:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
29.11.25	Hvidovre - Esbjerg	1:3 ✺
21.11.25	Lyngby BK - Esbjerg	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Esbjerg - Middelfart	4:2 ✺
02.11.25	Esbjerg - B.93 Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.25	Esbjerg - Randers FC	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLWWW
- FC Copenhagen
Danish Superliga
30.11.25	AGF Aarhus - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Copenhagen - Kairat	3:2 ✺
Danish Superliga
23.11.25	Copenhagen - Brøndby	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Copenhagen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
14.02.20	Esbjerg - Copenhagen	1:0
20.10.19	Copenhagen - Esbjerg	3:1
19.05.19	Esbjerg - Copenhagen	4:3
31.03.19	Copenhagen - Esbjerg	1:0
09.12.18	Copenhagen - Esbjerg	3:0
02.09.18	Esbjerg - Copenhagen	0:2
12.03.17	Copenhagen - Esbjerg	2:0

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