Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Escorpiones de Belén		Limon Black Star

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.5	3.5
	1.85	3.6	3.55
	1.91	3.66	3.73	Watch
	1.61	3.75	5
	1.89	3.56	3.87
	1.89	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.64)	3.6 ↓ (3.75)	3.86 ↓ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Escorpiones de Belén
50.3%

Draw
25.7%

Limon Black Star
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Escorpiones de Belén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Escorpiones de Belén's form might have worsened.

Limon Black Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Limon Black Star's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Escorpiones de Belén, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limon Black Star than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Limon Black Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Cano E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, Montiel R. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Escorpiones won 2.

Escorpiones is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Limon Black Star is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Limon Black Star could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Escorpiones is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Escorpiones won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:19 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Escorpiones won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
03.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
15.02.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	2:2 ✺
09.02.25	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1 ✺
05.02.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Uruguay de Coronado	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWL
- Limon Black Star
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.03.25	Desamparados - Limon Black Star	1:0 ✺
26.02.25	Limon Black Star - Turrialba	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Limon Black Star - Aserrí	2:0 ✺
20.02.25	Uruguay de Coronado - Limon Black Star	1:2 ✺
03.02.25	Limon Black Star - Cariari Pococí	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.01.25	Limon Black Star - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2
03.08.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	5:1
17.03.24	Limon Black Star - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2
02.02.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	1:2
07.10.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	2:3
20.08.23	Limon Black Star - Escorpiones de Belén	5:0
06.05.23	Escorpiones de Belén - Limon Black Star	0:1

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