Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Santa Cruz PFA		Escorpiones de Belén

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.55	1.62	Watch
	4.94	3.69	1.56
	4.62	3.85	1.68	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.62
	4.84	3.55	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.75 ↑ (3.81)	3.61 ↑ (3.6)	1.62 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Cruz PFA
19.1%

Draw
25.1%

Escorpiones de Belén
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

25.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.7%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Cruz PFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Escorpiones de Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Escorpiones de Belén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz PFA than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', 🟥,

Preview

First leg.

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Santa Cruz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Escorpiones is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Escorpiones is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Santa Cruz won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santa Cruz PFA
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
29.03.26	Deportivo Upala - Santa Cruz PFA	1:2 ✺
25.03.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Sarchi	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Quepos - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Santa Cruz PFA - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	Cofutpa - Santa Cruz PFA	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLTT
- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
04.04.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	8:0 ✺
29.03.26	Desamparados - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1 ✺
26.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Uruguay de Coronado	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Pitbulls - Escorpiones de Belén	1:1 ✺
16.03.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Cariari Pococí	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
06.04.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Cruz PFA	2:1
24.02.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2
27.10.24	Santa Cruz PFA - Escorpiones de Belén	1:3
07.09.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Santa Cruz PFA	3:1

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