Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 28

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Harlyckan (Helsingborg) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Sweden	13:00	Ettan Play


	Eskilsminne		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.60	2.15
	2.65	3.45	2.20
	2.52	4.39	2.30
	2.73	4.35	2.11	Watch
	2.40	4.30	2.25
	2.76	3.68	2.30	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.52)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)	2.22 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eskilsminne
35.2%

Draw
23.3%

Lunds
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

24.2%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

23.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eskilsminne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eskilsminne's performance.

Lunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eskilsminne than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eskilsminne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Eskilsminne - Lunds Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eskilsminne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Pettersson I. (G) 10. Bermudez T. 9. Gustafson A. 17. Johnsson I. 2. Kurtulus E. 16. Larsson M. 8. Lindahl H. 14. Ljung Hofvendahl C. 3. Nilsson W. 99. Seger C. (C) 21. Sjoberg A.	1. Alexandersson A. (C) 4. Elwan H. 8. Getachew J. 14. Jacobsson J. 17. Lindfors S. 10. Lindman E. 11. Mehmedagic A. 26. Orajarvi I. 12. Strid J. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.
Substitutes
5. Andersson V. 15. Bengtsson H. 26. Eriksson M. 31. Norrby H. 1. Pauli H. (G) 11. Stoltz H. 4. Westerlund W.	18. Akdemir F. 32. Fordham T. (G) 21. Kolle D. T. 7. Mehmeti A. 3. Nicklasson L. 16. Olofsson D. 9. Tork-Jokar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Mehmedagic A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Johnsson I. ↓, Stoltz H. ↑,
55', 0 - 2, Wihlborg Costa A. ⚽, Strid J. (A),
62', Ljung Hofvendahl C. ↓, Westerlund W. ↑,
62', Bermudez T. ↓, Norrby H. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Wihlborg Costa A. ⚽,
74', Mehmedagic A. ↓, Akdemir F. ↑,
75', 0 - 4, Akdemir F. ⚽,
77', 1 - 4, Norrby H. ⚽,
78', Larsson M. ↓, Bengtsson H. ↑,
79', Gustafson A. ↓, Andersson V. ↑,
81', Elwan H. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Eskilsminne won 3.

Eskilsminne has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lunds has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Lunds could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Lunds has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Eskilsminne has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:34 (averaging 1.6:1.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Eskilsminne against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 16:17 goals (averaging 1.6:1.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lunds	28	13	8	7	56:37	19	47
13	Eskilsminne	28	9	6	13	45:57	-12	33

Last Results with these Odds

Eskilsminne - the odds 3.52 are the expected chance of winning is 25.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskilsminne IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
17.10.26	Skövde AIK - Eskilsminne	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Eskilsminne - Olympic	2:7 ✺
03.10.26	Jönköpings Södra - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Eskilsminne - AFC Malmö	1:2 ✺
21.09.26	Ängelholm - Eskilsminne	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWLT
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
16.10.26	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:4 ✺
10.10.26	Lunds - Trollhättan	4:3 ✺
02.10.26	Lunds - Laholms	0:1 ✺
25.09.26	Lunds - Kristianstad	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Åtvidaberg - Lunds	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
22.05.26	Lunds - Eskilsminne	4:2
16.08.25	Eskilsminne - Lunds	2:1
28.05.25	Lunds - Eskilsminne	2:2
12.10.24	Eskilsminne - Lunds	3:1
12.04.24	Lunds - Eskilsminne	1:2
05.11.23	Eskilsminne - Lunds	4:3
12.05.23	Lunds - Eskilsminne	3:2

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