Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 16

Date: 15 January 2026, Thursday


	Espérance ST		Gabès

	1	X	2
	1.05	8.5	22
	1.05	10.97	20	Watch
	1.06	11	29
	1.04	8.7	28	Watch
	1.05	8	21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.05 ↓ (1.23)	9.43 ↑ (5.22)	24 ↑ (12.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espérance ST
86.6%

Draw
9.6%

Gabès
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

17.7%

7.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espérance ST's performance.

Gabès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Espérance ST - Gabès Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Gabès (6.23) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

EH +2 - Gabès (2.55) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Espérance ST (1.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gabès (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Ben Said B. (G) 22. Danho F. 17. Dhaou H. 27. Guenichi K. 31. Jebali C. 6. Jelassi H. 23. Keita I. 12. Laifi N. 14. Ogbelu O. 8. Tka H. 10. Yan Sasse	22. Chouaya A. (C) 17. Abdourahmane M. 25. Assane R. 5. Belghith M. 12. Ben Ammar F. 31. Bidani M. 21. Diolvy Agdavain M. 33. Guezmir H. 8. Hamed M. N. 3. Helali N. 10. Khadhraoui M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Yan Sasse (Penalty Awarded),
29', 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Khadhraoui M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Jelassi H. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 4.

Gabès may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espérance ST is the obvious favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Espérance ST won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:6. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Espérance ST won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Esperance Tunis	4	3	0	1	7:6	1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
10.01.26	Espérance ST - Ben Guerdane	4:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
29.11.25	Atlético Petróleos de Luanda - Espérance ST	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Espérance ST - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.11.25	Club Africain - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
06.11.25	Espérance ST - Jeunesse Sportive Omrane	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WTTTW
- AS Gabès
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
23.11.25	Stade Tunisien - Gabès	4:0 ✺
08.11.25	Gabès - Soliman	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	JS Kairouan - Gabès	2:1 ✺
01.11.25	Gabès - Monastir	1:1 ✺
25.10.25	Métlaoui - Gabès	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
09.08.25	Gabès - Espérance ST	0:0
01.03.25	Gabès - Espérance ST	0:2
09.11.24	Espérance ST - Gabès	2:1
10.04.19	Gabès - Espérance ST	0:1
Tunisian Cup
29.01.19	Gabès - Espérance ST	0:1 ET
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
14.11.18	Espérance ST - Gabès	3:0
31.01.18	Gabès - Espérance ST	1:1

Espérance ST - Gabès: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide