The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Español de San Vicente 26.8%
Draw 30.8%
Elche Ilicitano 42.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
29.3%
48.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22%
29%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Español de San Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Elche Ilicitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elche Ilicitano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elche Ilicitano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 6 (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Jove won 1.
Recent matches Jove is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ilicitano in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Jove won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Jove won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.