Match Info

Date: 16 December 2020, Wednesday


	Español de San Vicente		Eldense

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.1	1.91
	4	3.1	1.87
	3.99	3.27	1.93
	3.8	3.3	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.99)	3.19 ↑ (3)	1.91 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Español de San Vicente
23.8%

Draw
28.5%

Eldense
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.8%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

21.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Español de San Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Español de San Vicente's form might have worsened.

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eldense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Español de San Vicente than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Español de San Vicente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-18.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 6 (Second stage) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 6 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Jove is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Eldense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Eldense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Eldense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Jove won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Jove won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Español de San Vicente
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
13.12.20	Español de San Vicente - Hércules B	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Villajoyosa - Español de San Vicente	3:2 ✺
28.11.20	Español de San Vicente - Benigánim	1:2 ✺
22.11.20	Intercity - Español de San Vicente	1:0 ✺
15.11.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Español de San Vicente	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
12.12.20	Eldense - Villajoyosa	0:0 ✺
28.11.20	Eldense - Intercity	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Crevillente Deportivo - Eldense	2:3 ✺
14.11.20	Eldense - Olímpic de Xàtiva	3:0 ✺
25.10.20	Novelda - Eldense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
01.03.20	Eldense - Español de San Vicente	4:0
13.10.19	Español de San Vicente - Eldense	2:1
24.03.19	Eldense - Español de San Vicente	0:0
04.11.18	Español de San Vicente - Eldense	3:1

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