Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Espanyol		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.7	1.8	Watch
	4.3	3.65	1.8
	4.51	3.9	1.82
	3.91	3.7	1.9
	4.4	3.8	1.78
	4.32	3.84	1.91	Watch
	4.3	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↑ (4.2)	3.77 ↑ (3.71)	1.83 (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
22.3%

Draw
25.3%

Atlético Madrid
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

25.6%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

25.3%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

The ML Model estimate for Espanyol aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Espanyol - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 1.

Espanyol has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Espanyol could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Atlético is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Espanyol has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:26 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Espanyol against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:12 goals (averaging 1.3:1.2 per game).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Atl. Madrid: 2.72% Espanyol: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Atl. Madrid	8	6	1	1	18:8	10	19
12	Espanyol	8	2	2	4	11:11	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.84%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
09.10.26	Málaga - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Espanyol - Elche	1:3 ✺
15.09.26	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
10.10.26	Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	4:0 ✺
13.09.26	Real Sociedad - Atlético Madrid	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	4:2
17.08.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	2:1
29.03.25	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	1:1
28.08.24	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	0:0
24.05.23	Espanyol - Atlético Madrid	3:3
06.11.22	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	1:1
17.04.22	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	2:1

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