Match Info

LaLiga - Round 5

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona)

Referee: Bestard Servera L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
China	Migu
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	Disney+
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	Disney+
France	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Disney+
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 4
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DAZN, DSports 310
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab


	Osasuna		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.20	3.40	Watch
	2.20	3.20	3.40
	2.25	3.15	3.40	Watch
	2.30	3.22	3.57
	2.31	3.14	3.38	Watch
	2.25	3.20	3.50
	2.26	3.22	3.47	Watch
	2.29	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.99)	3.2 ↓ (3.39)	3.45 ↓ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osasuna
42.3%

Draw
29.9%

Espanyol
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

28.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Osasuna's form might have worsened.

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Osasuna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	28.6%	21.4%

Osasuna - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Espanyol will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Espanyol (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera S. (G) 27. Arguibide I. 24. Catena A. 48. Yeboah R. 15. Rico D. 7. Moncayola J. 8. Munoz I. 14. Garcia R. 9. Garcia R. 11. Barja K. (C) 17. Budimir A.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 5. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 21. Hinojo R. 8. Exposito 4. Gonzalez U. 18. Fernandez Sanchez M. 28. Hernandez J. 24. Dolan T. 9. Fernandez Jaen R.
Substitutes
30. Bonel A. 22. Boyomo F. 23. Bretones A. 20. Del Castillo R. 21. Dubasin J. 26. Echegoyen M. 13. Fernandez A. (G) 18. Moro R. 29. Osambela A. 31. Rafa (G) 35. Santos U. 6. Torro L.	26. Bauza R. 22. Calatrava A. 16. Drkusic V. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 20. Gabriel Moscardo 3. Hartman Q. 17. Jofre 32. Lopez J. A. 10. Lozano P. 11. Milla P. 14. Nunez U. 15. Zaragoza B.
Coaches
Ramis L. M.	Gonzalez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, Fernandez Sanchez M. (A),
17', 0 - 2, Fernandez Jaen R. ⚽, El Hilali O. (A),
30', Barja K. 🟨,
39', Moncayola J. 🟨,
40', Riedel C. 🟨,
45', El Hilali O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rico D. ↓, Bretones A. ↑,
59', Arguibide I. ↓, Osambela A. ↑,
60', Garcia R. ↓, Moro R. ↑,
60', Barja K. ↓, Dubasin J. ↑,
66', Fernandez Sanchez M. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
66', Dolan T. ↓, Calatrava A. ↑,
71', Garcia R. ↓, Del Castillo R. ↑,
80', Fernandez Jaen R. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
80', Hernandez J. ↓, Zaragoza B. ↑,
87', Hinojo R. 🟨,
89', Exposito ↓, Drkusic V. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Osasuna will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Osasuna: Gomez M. (Hamstring Injury) Herrando J. (Injury) Oroz A. (Muscle Injury) Rosier V. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Espanyol: Garcia K. (Hamstring Injury) Gorosabel A. (Injury) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Osasuna won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:15. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Osasuna won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1:0.7).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Espanyol: 0.3% Osasuna: 0.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6:13	-7	8
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10:10	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
31.08.26	Osasuna - Getafe	1:0 ✺
27.08.26	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
24.08.26	Osasuna - Levante	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWTT
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
06.09.26	Espanyol - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Real Sociedad - Espanyol	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Espanyol - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Espanyol - Levante	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Middlesbrough - Espanyol	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.05.26	Osasuna - Espanyol	1:2
31.08.25	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:0
18.05.25	Osasuna - Espanyol	2:0
14.12.24	Espanyol - Osasuna	0:0
04.02.23	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:1
20.10.22	Osasuna - Espanyol	1:0
08.05.22	Espanyol - Osasuna	1:1

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